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Family Practice 2006 23(4):391-392; doi:10.1093/fampra/cml037
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© The Author (2006). Published by Oxford University Press. All rights reserved. For Permissions, please email: journals.permissions@oxfordjournals.org

Making decisions under uncertainty—the role of probabilistic decision modelling

Yolanda Bravo Vergel and Mark Sculpher

Centre for Health Economics, University of York York YO10 5DD, UK

Correspondence to: Mark Sculpher, Email: mjs23@york.ac.uk

The first 10% of the full text of this article appears below.

The phenomenon of explicit priority-setting in health care is international and cuts across very different types of health care systems and levels of health care spending. In the context of increasingly stretched resources, economic evaluation in health care is becoming a central component of formal decision-making procedures; in particular, in those countries with a longer tradition in health technology assessment (HTA) such as Australia, Canada, UK, The Netherlands and the Scandinavian countries. In reality, it is unlikely that explicit rationing would ever replace implicit rationing entirely, being as they are the two ends of a continuum, and a certain degree of professional discretion is inevitable at the point of . . . [Full Text of this Article]


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